Ravens QB Crisis: Kalshi Prices Jaguars Victory at 79 Cents
With Lamar Jackson on the injured list and the backup out for the season, Baltimore is trading at 22 cents per share against Jacksonville.
By Madison Lewis ·
Prediction markets have priced the Jacksonville Jaguars as the clear favorite to beat the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday. On the Kalshi platform, a share of a Jaguars victory trades at $0.79. A share of a Ravens victory trades at $0.22. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET.
The price gap reflects a sudden collapse at the quarterback position in Baltimore. Two-time MVP Lamar Jackson is on the injured list following thumb surgery. Backup Tyler Huntley is out for the rest of the season due to turf toe. The Ravens will start Joe Fagnano, who is on the roster as a third-string player.
Fagnano has limited starting experience. In relief play last week, he completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards and one interception. The Ravens lost that game 36-10 to the Buffalo Bills. It marked their third straight defeat. Huntley started the previous three games while Jackson recovered from an ankle injury.
The Jaguars enter the game with a 5-2 record. They have only lost to the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans. Their most recent result was a 42-7 win over the Indianapolis Colts after a bye week. The Ravens are 4-4. Their offense has struggled recently, scoring only 33 total points over the past three games.
Defensive statistics show the two units are comparable in yardage allowed, with both sitting near the league average. However, the Jaguars allow 15.9 points per game. The Ravens allow 25.4 points per game. Jacksonville ranks fifth in the league in scoring, averaging 28 points per contest.
Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,690 yards this season. He has 17 touchdown passes and four interceptions. Running back Bhayshul Tuten is a game-time decision after injuring his ankle against the Colts. He had 100 rushing yards and 55 receiving yards in that game.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated this matchup 10,000 times. The model projects the Jaguars winning by more than 10 points in 51% of those simulations. On Kalshi, a contract for a Jaguars win by more than 10.5 points trades at $0.47 per share. A contract for the Ravens winning by fewer than 10.5 points or winning outright trades at $0.54.
The model also projects a combined score of more than 45 points. It shows the teams combining for more than 40 points in 60% of simulations. On Kalshi, a contract for more than 39.5 points in the game trades at $0.47 per share. A contract for 39 or fewer points trades at $0.54.
