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Prices and Tariffs Drive Voter Anger in Tight Midterm Race

AP-NORC data shows economic strain as the primary concern for voters, with specific frustrations emerging in Raleigh and Palm Beach as polls open for the 2026 midterms.

By Jabari Long ·

Illustration for: Prices and Tariffs Drive Voter Anger in Tight Midterm Race
Voters' cars line a suburban street outside a polling place on a clear morning, highlighting the steady turnout for the 2026 midterm elections.

The Associated Press describes the current election as a referendum on President Donald Trump's second term, noting that voters are struggling with high prices and are angry over an unpopular war with Iran. This economic anxiety is central to the day's proceedings, with the AP-NORC polling indicating that only 25 percent of U.S. adults approve of the president's handling of the economy. Approximately seven in ten respondents say the country is heading in the wrong direction, with the majority blaming the administration for the current cost of living.

In Raleigh, North Carolina, the impact of these economic pressures is felt deeply by local voters. James Moore, a 57-year-old librarian, expressed his frustration regarding the rising cost of daily necessities. He stated that he is paying more taxes, more for his healthcare, and more for everything else. His comments reflect a broader sentiment among those who feel the weight of inflation and tariff impacts on their household budgets. The AP notes that such economic strain has made races in states like North Carolina and Maine particularly competitive.

Contrasting this view, voters in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, presented a different perspective on the administration's performance. Mark Barker, a local voter, said he has been following Trump the whole time and believes the president is doing an awesome job. This divergence highlights the split in national opinion, where some voters see economic stability or growth while others focus on the immediate pain of higher prices. The AP reports that while Republicans are bracing to lose the House, they are fighting hard to hold the Senate, with one or two seats potentially tipping the balance in either chamber.

The role of tariffs in shaping the economic narrative is a key component of this election. The AP points out that economic strain and tariffs have made the race in Maine competitive, with Sen. Susan Collins facing Democratic former state Senate President Troy Jackson. In North Carolina, the open Senate seat is also a battleground, with Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper challenging former Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley. These races are being watched closely as indicators of how voters will respond to economic policies and trade decisions.

Voter turnout is a critical factor in this midterm election, with more than 57 million people having already voted as of Monday. This number surpasses the early vote totals from four years ago in many closely watched states. RNC Chairman Joe Gruters emphasized that everything depends on turnout, stating that if Republicans can turn out their voters, they will win. Conversely, DCCC Chair Rep. Suzan DelBene noted that the American people are angry and want change, suggesting that high turnout among Democrats could be the key to shifting control of Congress.

The financial stakes of the election are also significant, with the 2026 elections likely to be the most expensive in history. AP analysis of AdImpact data shows that 88.1 percent of Republican general election TV ad spending went to states and districts that Trump won in 2024. This includes more than $850 million spent in areas where he won by 10 points or more. At the candidate level, however, Democrats outraised their opponents, indicating a different strategy for funding individual races versus national party committees.

President Trump has been actively campaigning, holding dozens of rallies in the lead-up to Election Day. He ended his recent schedule in Salina, Kansas, telling supporters he wanted them to pretend he was on the ballot. His rallies included stops in Mississippi, South Carolina, and Texas. Many Republican candidates have kept their distance from the president, perhaps reflecting the mixed feelings within the party about his economic approval ratings. The AP notes that Trump has continued to make claims about voting fraud, including the assertion that noncitizens vote in large numbers.

The administration has also taken legal actions related to election administration, which has raised concerns among Democrats about potential interference. A federal judge temporarily barred the Trump administration from carrying out a plan to prevent noncitizen voting, while another judge ordered the administration to stop demanding that California election officials segregate ballots cast by people on its lists of suspected noncitizens. The U.S. Postal Service has added hours and staff to ensure mail ballots are counted on time, mitigating some logistical concerns.

Wall Street is closely monitoring the results, with Reuters noting that the outcome could add to investor concerns about AI spending and debt ceiling negotiations. The control of Congress will determine the legislative agenda for the final two years of the Trump term. If Democrats win even one chamber, investigations and possible impeachment proceedings become likely. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries has outlined a 100-day agenda focused on the cost of living and oversight, signaling a shift in priorities if his party gains power.

The election will also decide who controls the governorships, with 36 races on the ballot. Democrats currently hold 24 governor's offices and Republicans 26. Democrats would need a net gain of two governorships to achieve a nationwide majority, a feat they have not accomplished since 2010. The AP calls Texas, Florida, and Iowa competitive governor races, adding to the list of key states where the outcome will be closely watched.

As polls open across the country, the focus remains on what voters are doing rather than who is winning. The AP-NORC numbers provide a snapshot of the economic mood, with high prices and tariffs serving as the dominant issues. The reactions from voters in Raleigh and Palm Beach illustrate the diverse perspectives on the administration's economic record. The day's events will determine the composition of Congress and the balance of power in the executive branch, with significant implications for the nation's economic and political direction.

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